Category: Economics, Business, & Work

Why China’s slowdown may get permanently worse — Quartz

For years, global economists have forecast a slowdown in China’s breakneck growth. Now that the deceleration is actually here, rich-world investors, companies and government officials, reliant on the Chinese juggernaut for their financial well-being, seem impatient for the revelry to resume, and are hoping that the Chinese government will follow up its stimulus of package of 2008-2009 with another generous injection of capital.

Source: Why China’s slowdown may get permanently worse — Quartz

 

Does an economy of 1.3 billion people with GDP of $5,500 per capita that needs half a trillion dollars in ‘surprise’ government spending on largely unnecessary infrastructure every four years in order to keep growing still count as ‘emerging?’

— Michael Parker, analyst with Bernstein Research

The Secret Consensus Among Economists – Freakonomics Freakonomics

If you follow the economic policy debate in the popular press, you would be excused for missing one of our best-kept secrets: There’s remarkable agreement among economists on most policy questions.

I’ve never seen the disjunction between the political debate about economics and the consensus of economists be as large as it is today.

Source: The Secret Consensus Among Economists – Freakonomics Freakonomics

 

From comments:

For what it’s worth, I do agree with the main point of the article – that public commentary about economics is studiously uninformed and caricatured. Generally economics takes a backseat to ‘sexier’ social issues, which is certainly a problem. But the fact that there is a consensus amongst economists despite a huge number of questions about the nature of economic arrangements across the globe which cannot be answered by neoclassical economic theory should indeed be a matter for concern – about the academic discipline, as well as about the public discourse.

In the 1970’s, there was a healthy debate between a great number of economic schools – Austrian, neoclassical, Marxist and the various flavours of Keynesian. Long story short, the neoclassicals (and a few Austrians) essentially rent-sought their way to pre-eminence, and have been doing their best to hold barred the academy doors against the quantitative alternatives (ecological economics, post-Keynesianism and chartalism, distributism) for near-on three decades now. The consensus is an imposed one, and the debate within mainstream economics now is essentially a quibbling over minutiae between straight-up neoclassicals and neoclassicals masquerading as Keynesians. That should probably raise a few red flags, given the trenchant empirical criticisms of many of the assumptions made by neoclassicals about human behaviour and rationality, about the nature of resource consumption, about the role of institutions and so on. These aren’t ‘squawking heads’ on television making these criticisms; more often than not these are serious scientists and statisticians (Herman Daly, Dean Baker, Dan Ariely, EF Schumacher and his followers).

— anonymous

What Surgeons Get Paid, and What Patients Think Surgeons Get Paid – Freakonomics Freakonomics

Jared Foran, an orthopedic surgeon in Denver, is a co-author of a new study called “Patient Perception of Physician Reimbursement in Elective Total Hip and Knee Arthroplasty” (PDF here). The authors surveyed 1,200 patients to see how much they thought orthopedic surgeons should make and what Medicare actually pays for a hip or knee replacement.

Source: What Surgeons Get Paid, and What Patients Think Surgeons Get Paid – Freakonomics Freakonomics